The EUR/USD currency pair
Các chỉ báo kỹ thuật của cặp tiền tệ:
- Mở trước đó: 1.0651
- Đóng trước đó: 1.0623
- % thay đổi 24 giờ qua: -0.26 %
The euro fell below $1.06, the lowest level since October 2023, under pressure from the strong dollar after Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections. Investors are worried about potential trade tariffs proposed by Trump, which could damage European exports, especially in relation to cars. The euro is also under pressure due to political uncertainty in Germany, where early elections will be held on February 23 after the collapse of Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s ruling coalition. Meanwhile, the markets adjusted their expectations regarding the rate cut by the European Central Bank, now estimating a 25 bp decrease in December as a very likely event.
Khuyến nghị giao dịch
- Mức hỗ trợ: 1.0593
- Mức kháng cự: 1.0664, 1.0714, 1.0766, 1.0795, 1.0857
The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bearish. The price reached the support level of 1.0593, where buyers are reacting. Considering the MACD divergence, a buy position can be taken with a minimum target of 1.0664. There are no optimal entry points for sale now.
Kịch bản thay thế:if the price breaks the resistance level of 1.0825 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.
Tin tức cập nhật cho: 2024.11.13
- US FOMC Member Harker Speaks at 00:00 (GMT+2);
- US FOMC Member Barkin Speaks at 00:30 (GMT+2);
- US Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2);
- US FOMC Member Logan Speaks at 16:45 (GMT+2);
- US FOMC Member Musalem Speaks at 20:00 (GMT+2);
- US FOMC Member Schmid Speaks at 20:30 (GMT+2).
The GBP/USD currency pair
Các chỉ báo kỹ thuật của cặp tiền tệ:
- Mở trước đó: 1.2866
- Đóng trước đó: 1.2747
- % thay đổi 24 giờ qua: -0.93 %
The British pound fell to $1.28, marking a three-month low, under the pressure of a significant strengthening of the dollar amid expectations that Donald Trump’s policy could lead to increased inflation and limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut borrowing costs. In the United Kingdom, new labor market data supported the Central Bank’s cautious stance on lowering interest rates. Regular wages, excluding bonuses, fell only slightly to 4.8% in the three months to September, which is in line with the Central Bank’s estimates. The unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, and the number of vacancies fell to the lowest level since May 2021.
Khuyến nghị giao dịch
- Mức hỗ trợ: 1.2733, 1.2642
- Mức kháng cự: 1.2766, 1.2878, 1.2905, 1.2982, 1.3023
From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair is bearish. The situation is very similar to the euro, but the pound still has the potential for decline. The price has now reached the support level of 1.2733, where buyers have shown a moderate reaction. Considering the MACD divergence, here you can look for buy deals with a target of 1.2766. There are no optimal entry points for sell deals now, as the price has deviated strongly from the moving averages.
Kịch bản thay thế:if the price breaks the resistance level at 1.3009 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.
Tin tức cập nhật cho: 2024.11.13
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The USD/JPY currency pair
Các chỉ báo kỹ thuật của cặp tiền tệ:
- Mở trước đó: 153.72
- Đóng trước đó: 154.60
- % thay đổi 24 giờ qua: +0.57 %
The Japanese yen weakened to 155 per dollar, its lowest level in more than three months, as the dollar continued to strengthen in so-called “Trump trades,” when markets are betting that Trump’s inflationary policies will limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to reduce borrowing costs. Domestic producer prices in Japan rose to the highest level in 14 months in October, reflecting ongoing inflationary pressure. Investors are now focused on Friday’s third-quarter GDP data to gain a deeper understanding of Japan’s economic outlook.
Khuyến nghị giao dịch
- Mức hỗ trợ: 154.29, 153.71, 153.30, 153.03, 152.65, 151.45
- Mức kháng cự: 155.20
From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY currency pair is bullish. The Japanese yen reached the resistance level of 155.20, where sellers are showing moderate initiative. Given the MACD divergence, a technical correction may begin here, so it is appropriate to look for sell deals during the day. There are no optimal entry points for buy deals now, as the price has deviated strongly from the average lines.
Kịch bản thay thế:if the price breaks down the support level of 153.39, the downtrend will likely resume.
Tin tức cập nhật cho: 2024.11.13
- Japan Producer Price Index (m/m) at 01:50 (GMT+2).
The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)
Các chỉ báo kỹ thuật của cặp tiền tệ:
- Mở trước đó: 2624
- Đóng trước đó: 2598
- % thay đổi 24 giờ qua: -1.00 %
On Wednesday, gold rose above the $2,600 mark per ounce, probably as part of a technical recovery after reaching a two-month low, while attention shifted to key US data to get an idea of the outlook for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Expectations that the Fed may delay next year’s easing cycle because of Trump’s fiscal strategy have intensified recently. Currently, the probability of another rate cut in December is 60%, while before the elections last week, it was about 80%. Meanwhile, the World Gold Council reports that at the beginning of November, world gold ETF funds lost about 809 million US dollars (12 tons), which was caused by the outflow of funds from North America and partially compensated by the inflow of funds from Asia.
Khuyến nghị giao dịch
- Mức hỗ trợ: 2602, 2554
- Mức kháng cự: 2627, 2675, 2700, 2708, 2733, 2749
From the technical analysis point of view, the trend on the XAU/USD is bearish. Gold has reached the daily support level, and buyers are trying to hold the price. Considering the MACD divergence, buying deals can be considered from 2602 with a target of 2627. There are no optimal entry points for selling now.
Kịch bản thay thế:if the price breaks above the resistance level of 2704, the uptrend will likely resume.
Tin tức cập nhật cho: 2024.11.13
- US FOMC Member Harker Speaks at 00:00 (GMT+2);
- US FOMC Member Barkin Speaks at 00:30 (GMT+2);
- US Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2);
- US FOMC Member Logan Speaks at 16:45 (GMT+2);
- US FOMC Member Musalem Speaks at 20:00 (GMT+2);
- US FOMC Member Schmid Speaks at 20:30 (GMT+2).
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